Oscar nominations are scheduled to arrive Tuesday morning at 5:18 a.m. PST. Will “La La Land” pull down a record-tying number? Will the makers of “Deadpool” give voters a middle-finger salute?
Here are my final predictions for 21 of the 24 categories. (I haven’t seen all the shortlisted short features, so those three categories will have to wait.)
Comment: Nine movies — though you never know how the math is going to shake out with the academy’s preferential voting system. If it’s just eight nominees, as has been the case the last two years, either “Hidden Figures” or “Hacksaw” will be on the outside looking in.
Damien Chazelle, “La La Land”
Barry Jenkins, “Moonlight”
Kenneth Lonergan, “Manchester by the Sea”
Denis Villeneuve, “Arrival”
Martin Scorsese, “Silence”
Comment: Stubbornly sticking with Scorsese (myopically?), believing that directors branch members will reward the craft and passion that went into “Silence.” But if not enough voters saw it, we might see David Mackenzie nominated for “Hell or High Water.”
Casey Affleck, “Manchester by the Sea”
Denzel Washington, “Fences”
Ryan Gosling, “La La Land”
Andrew Garfield, “Hacksaw Ridge”
Viggo Mortensen, “Captain Fantastic”
Comment: Same slate as the Screen Actors Guild Awards. Yawn!
Emma Stone, “La La Land”
Natalie Portman, “Jackie”
Amy Adams, “Arrival”
Meryl Streep, “Florence Foster Jenkins”
Isabelle Huppert, “Elle”Read More...
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